Cairo
— The United States and leading European nations on
Saturday threw their weight behind Egypt’s vice president,
Omar Suleiman, backing his attempt to defuse a popular
uprising without immediately removing President Hosni
Mubarak from power.
American
officials said Mr. Suleiman had promised them an “orderly
transition” that would include constitutional reform and
outreach to opposition groups.
“That
takes some time,” Secretary of State Hilary Rodham Clinton
said, speaking at a Munich security conference. “There are
certain things that have to be done in order to prepare.”
But
the formal endorsement came as Mr. Suleiman appeared to
reject the protesters’ main demands, including the
immediate resignation of Mr. Mubarak and the dismantling of
a political system built around one-party rule, according to
leaders of a small, officially authorized opposition party
who spoke with Mr. Suleiman on Saturday.
Nor
has Mr. Suleiman, a former general, former intelligence
chief and Mr. Mubarak’s longtime confidant, yet reached
out to the leaders designated by the protesters to negotiate
with the government, opposition groups said.
Instead
of loosening its grip, the existing government appeared to
be consolidating its power: The prime minister said police
forces were returning to the streets, and an army general
urged protesters to scale back their occupation of Tahrir
Square.
Protesters
interpreted the simultaneous moves by the Western leaders
and Mr. Suleiman as a rebuff to their demands for an end to
the dictatorship led for almost three decades by Mr. Mubarak,
a pivotal American ally and pillar of the existing order in
the Middle East.
Just
days after President Obama demanded publicly that change in
Egypt must begin right away, many in the streets accused the
Obama administration of sacrificing concrete steps toward
genuine change in favor of a familiar stability.
“America
doesn’t understand,” said Ibrahim Mustafa, 42, who was
waiting to enter Tahrir Square. “The people know it is
supporting an illegitimate regime.”
Leaders
of the Egyptian opposition and rank-and-file protesters have
steadfastly rejected any negotiations with Mr. Suleiman
until after the ouster of Mr. Mubarak, arguing that moving
toward democracy will require ridding the country of not
only its dictator but also his rubber-stamp Parliament and a
Constitution designed for one-party rule.
On
Saturday, Mr. Mubarak’s party announced a shake-up that
removed its old guard, including his son Gamal, from the
party’s leadership while installing younger, more reform-minded
figures. But such gestures were quickly dismissed as
cosmetic by analysts and opposition figures.
Mr.
Mubarak and Mr. Suleiman “are trying to kill what has
happened and to contain and abort the revolution,” said
Hassan Nafaa, a political science professor at Cairo
University. “They want to continue to manage the country
like they did while making some concessions.”
Mrs.
Clinton’s message, echoed by Chancellor Angela Merkel of
Germany and Prime Minister David Cameron of Britain, and
reinforced in a flurry of calls by President Obama and Vice
President Joseph R. Biden Jr. to Egyptian and regional
leaders, appears to reflect an attempt at balancing calls
for systemic change with some semblance of legal order and
stability.
Mrs.
Clinton said Mr. Mubarak, having taken himself and Gamal out
of the September elections, was already effectively
sidelined. She emphasized the need for Egypt to reform its
Constitution to make a vote credible. “That is what the
government has said it is trying to do,” she said.
She
also stressed the dangers of holding elections without
adequate preparation. “Revolutions have overthrown
dictators in the name of democracy, only to see the process
hijacked by new autocrats who use violence, deception and
rigged elections to stay in power,” she said.
Her
emphasis on a deliberate process was repeated by Mrs. Merkel
and Mr. Cameron. Mrs. Merkel mentioned her past as a
democracy activist in East Germany, recalling the impatience
of protesters after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, to
immediately join democratic West Germany. But the process
took a year, and it was time well spent, she said.
“There
will be a change in Egypt,” Mrs. Merkel said, “but
clearly, the change has to be shaped in a way that it is a
peaceful, a sensible way forward.”
Mrs.
Clinton highlighted fears about deteriorating security
inside Egypt, noting the explosion at a gas pipeline in the
Sinai Peninsula, and uncorroborated news reports of an
earlier assassination attempt on Mr. Suleiman.
American
officials did not confirm that an assassination attempt had
taken place. But Mrs. Clinton referred to reports of the
attempt and said it “certainly brings into sharp relief
the challenges we are facing as we navigate through this
period.”
In
a statement, the Egyptian government said there had been no
assassination attempt, but added that on Jan. 28 a car in Mr.
Suleiman’s motorcade was struck by a bullet fired by
“criminal elements.”
At
the same Munich meeting on Saturday, Frank G. Wisner, the
former ambassador President Obama sent to Cairo to negotiate
with Mr. Mubarak, appeared to take an even softer line on
the existing government, saying that the United States
should not rush to push Mr. Mubarak out the door. He said Mr.
Mubarak had a critical role to play through the end of his
presidential term in September.
“You
need to get a national consensus around the preconditions of
the next step forward, and the president must stay in office
in order to steer those changes through,” Mr. Wisner said.
The
administration later said Mr. Wisner’s comments did not
reflect official policy. “The views he expressed today are
his own. He did not coordinate his comments with the U.S.
government,” said Philip J. Crowley, the State Department
spokesman.
White
House officials said Friday that they were privately pushing
Mr. Suleiman to sideline Mr. Mubarak and eliminate his
executive role well before the September elections.
But
the mixed signals fueled concerns in Egypt that the
administration, which has tried to juggle endorsement of
change and continued order, had effectively turned its back
on the core demands of those involved in the protest
movement.
Mohamed
ElBaradei, the Nobel laureate who has been chosen to
negotiate on behalf of the protesters and other opposition
groups, said the American-backed plan for a gradual
transition with Mr. Mubarak remaining in power was a
nonstarter. “I do not think it’s adequate,” he said in
an interview. “I’m not talking about myself. It’s not
adequate for the people.
“Mubarak
needs to go,” he said. “It has become an emotional issue.
They need to see his back, there’s no question about it.”
Protesters
also said that Western worries about security and orderly
transitions sounded remarkably like Mr. Mubarak’s age-old
excuses for postponing change. And they said they had waited
long enough.
“We
don’t want Omar Suleiman to take Mubarak’s place. We are
not O.K. with this regime at all,” said Omar el-Shawy, a
young online activist. “We want a president who is a
civilian.”
There
were few indications that Mr. Suleiman and other officials
were making much progress in addressing concerns of
opposition groups.
Mounir
Fakhry Abdel-Nour, the secretary general of the opposition
Wafd Party, said that in a meeting with Mr. Suleiman on
Saturday, the vice president told him that Mr. Mubarak’s
leaving early “was out of the question.” He also ruled
out any transfer of Mr. Mubarak’s responsibilities.
Mr.
Abdel-Nour said that he brought up the possibility of
repealing Egypt’s emergency law, which allows the
authorities to arrest people without charges. According to
Mr. Abdel-Nour, Mr. Suleiman responded: “At a time like
this?”
Negotiations
between Mr. Suleiman and a group of self-appointed “wise
men” who are acting as intermediaries between the vice
president and the protesters, and trying to find a way
around limits on succession in the Constitution, did not
advance significantly.
Amr
Hamzawy, one of the intermediaries, said the negotiations
were “gaining traction,” but added that his group did
not meet with Mr. Suleiman on Saturday. The intermediaries,
whose efforts have received the tacit encouragement of
Western governments, have forwarded a plan that would see Mr.
Mubarak transfer his powers to Mr. Suleiman and perhaps move
to his home in Sharm el-Sheik or embark on one of his annual
medical leaves to Germany.
In
Tahrir Square, meanwhile, the military tightened its cordon
around the protesters by reinforcing security checks at all
the entrances. An army officer, Brig. Gen. Hassan al-Rawaini,
negotiated with protesters outside a barricade near the
Egyptian Museum, urging them to bring down the
fortifications, allow traffic to return and move their
protest to the heart of Tahrir Square.
In
contrast to the pitched clashes of just days ago, General
Rawaini offered a microphone to protesters so that they
could air their complaints. He tried to reason, kissing some
on the head and pinching others’ cheeks. Occasionally, he
winked.
Eventually,
he and his soldiers moved past the makeshift barricade,
knocking part of it down, though protesters quickly put back
up the sheets of corrugated tin, barrels, metal rebar and
parts of fences. He then toured an area strewn with rocks
from the clashes and incinerated vehicles that served as
barricades. Some protesters thought he was preparing for the
army to enter and began forming human chains across the
streets. Others chanted “Peaceful!” and formed a
bodyguard around the general.
“He
wants to tear down these barricades, so that the tanks can
come through!” shouted Sayyid Eid, a 20-year-old protester,
as he tried to block his way.
“We’re
going to die here!” yelled Magdi Abdel-Rahman, another
protester.
“Listen
to him! Listen to him!” others shouted back.
Tempers
cooled and General Rawaini made a leisurely stroll to a
makeshift health clinic, then visited knots of protesters
across the square with a retinue of soldiers.
“We’re
trying to remove the barricades and return the streets to
normal,” General Rawaini said. “If you want to protest,
you can go back to the square.”
A
protester shouted back, “General, we’re not going to
walk away from here until Hosni Mubarak leaves!”
(*)
Kareem Fahim and Anthony Shadid reported from Cairo, and
Mark Landler from Munich. Reporting was contributed by
Steven Erlanger from Munich, and David D. Kirkpatrick, Mona
El-Naggar and Robert F. Worth from Cairo.
After
First Talks, Egypt Opposition Vows New Protest
Cairo
— Leaders of the Egyptian democracy movement vowed Sunday
to escalate their pressure for the resignation of President
Hosni Mubarak, even as his government portrayed itself as
already in the midst of American-approved negotiations to
end the uprising, now in its 13th day.
The
government announced that the transition had begun with a
meeting between Vice President Omar Suleiman and two
representatives of the Muslim Brotherhood, the outlawed
Islamist group the Egyptian government has sought to repress
for many years as a threat to stability. They met as part of
a group of about 50 prominent Egyptians and opposition
figures, including officials of the small, recognized
opposition parties, as well as a handful of young people who
helped start the protest movement.
While
both sides acknowledged the meeting as unprecedented, its
significance quickly became another skirmish in the battle
between the president and the protesters. Mr. Suleiman
released a statement — widely reported on state television
and instantly a focal point in Washington — declaring that
the meeting had produced a “consensus” about a path to
reform, including the promise to form a committee to
recommend constitutional changes by early March. The other
elements echoed pledges Mr. Mubarak had already made,
including a limit on how many terms a president can serve.
Leaders
of the protest movement, including both its youthful members
and Brotherhood officials, denounced Mr. Suleiman’s
portrayal of the meeting as a political ploy intended to
suggest that some in their ranks were collaborating.
Though
the movement has only a loose leadership, it has coalesced
around a unified set of demands, centered on Mr. Mubarak’s
resignation, but also including the dissolution of one-party
rule and revamping the Constitution that protected it, and
Mr. Suleiman gave no ground on any of those demands.
“We
did not come out with results,” said Mohamed Morsy, a
Brotherhood leader who attended, while others explained that
the Brotherhood had attended only to reiterate its demands
and show openness to dialogue.
The
standoff over the meeting underscored the conflicting
narratives about the next chapter of the revolt that has
shaken Egypt and the wider Arab world.
Each
side claimed that it had emerged from the last 12 days as a
survivor — unarmed protesters repulsed assaults first by
police officers in riot gear and then by pro-Mubarak gangs
in plain clothes, but Mr. Mubarak still emerged from a week
of demonstrations that brought hundreds of thousands into
the streets with his position and his Western support still
intact. And while the government hailed what it called a
return to normalcy, the protesters vowed that there was no
turning back.
To
rebut Mr. Suleiman’s claims of consensus, a group of young
organizers whose Facebook page fomented the revolt — a
half-dozen scruffy-looking doctors, lawyers and other
professionals in their early 30s — stepped forward
publicly for the first time. At least three had been
released just the night before from three days of
extra-legal detention at the hands of Mr. Mubarak’s police,
and they vowed to escalate their movement. “The government
played all the dirty games that they had, and the people
persisted,” said Shady el-Ghazaly Harb, a 32-year-old
surgeon. “We are betting on the people.”
More
than 100,000 turned out again on Sunday in the capital’s
central Tahrir Square — more than expected as the work
week resumed here. And some of the movement’s young
organizers, who were busy meeting to organize their many
small groups into a unified structure, said they were
considering more large-scale demonstrations in other cities,
strikes or acts of civil disobedience like surrounding the
state television headquarters.
Zyad
Elelaiwy, 32, a lawyer who is one of the online organizers
and a member of the umbrella opposition group founded by
Mohamed ElBaradei, the Nobel laureate, acknowledged a
generational divide in the movement. Some older leaders —
especially from the recognized parties — were tempted to
negotiate with Mr. Suleiman, he said, but the young
organizers determined to hold out for sweeping change.
“They
are more close to negotiating, but they don’t have access
to the street,” Mr. Elelaiwy said. “The people know us.
They don’t know them.”
Mr.
ElBaradei and the Muslim Brotherhood, the biggest opposition
group, have committed to follow the lead of the young
organizers, he said.
Many
of the protesters who gathered in Tahrir Square, the
epicenter of the protests, vented anger at reports that the
United States was supporting the idea of a negotiated
transition undertaken by Mr. Suleiman while Mr. Mubarak
remained in power. “The extremists aren’t here in Egypt,
but they will be if the United States persists!” said Noha
El Sharakawy, a 52-year-old pharmacist with dual citizenship
in both countries.
But
the young revolt’s initiators said they were unfazed
because they had never relied on Western support. “If the
United States supports the revolution, it is good for the
United States,” said Islam Lofty, 32, a lawyer. “If they
do not, it is an Egyptian issue.”
Some
in Washington said they welcomed Mr. Suleiman’s statement,
arguing that it echoed points that Vice President Joseph R.
Biden Jr. has pressed for: a clear road map and timetable of
reforms, starting with the end of one-party rule and
protections for political opponents and the media.
Though
Mr. Mubarak’s government has often made similar pledges
without delivering, American officials pursuing a strategy
of slow and steady motion toward a few clear goals suggested
they were gratified.
In
an interview with National Public Radio on Sunday, Secretary
of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said that she and Mr. Biden
had held many conversations with Mr. Suleiman about steps
toward democracy. “We hear that they are committed to this,”
she said, “and when we press on concrete steps and
timelines, we are given assurance that that will happen.”
To
explain the apparent American shift from urgent demands for
change to endorsing plans for Mr. Mubarak to remain in place
during a transition, Mrs. Clinton alluded to “a debate
within Egypt itself, and not just in the government, but
among the people of Egypt” over how to manage the timing
of the transition, since the existing Egyptian Constitution
would set an unrealistic deadline of two months for an
election if Mr. Mubarak stepped down. That “doesn’t give
anybody enough time,” she said. She has not addressed the
Egyptian opposition’s suggestion for how to solve that
problem: suspension of the Constitution for up to a year
until a transitional unity government can organize a free
election.
In
an appearance on ABC News, Mr. Suleiman said little to
suggest that he was ready to move Egypt toward democracy or
that he even took its youth-led democracy movement seriously.
Insisting
that a transition had already begun with his meeting with
members of the opposition, he reiterated that Mr. Mubarak
would stay in power. If he left, Mr. Suleiman argued,
“other people who have their own agenda will make
instability in our country.”
Brushing
aside the secular character of the youth revolt shaking
Egypt and the Arab world, Mr. Suleiman suggested
conspiratorially that unspecified “other people” and
“an Islamic current” were in fact pushing the young
people forward. “It’s not their idea,” he said. “It
comes from abroad.”
And
when asked about progress toward democracy, he asserted that
Egypt was not ready, and would not be until “the people
here will have the culture of democracy.”
Mr.
ElBaradei, who has been delegated as a negotiator for the
protest movement, rejected Mr. Suleiman’s arguments in his
own Sunday talk show appearance.
“We
need to abolish the present Constitution,” Mr. ElBaradei
said in an interview on CNN. “We need to dissolve the
current Parliament. These are all elements of the
dictatorship regime, and we should not be — I don’t
think we will go to democracy through the dictatorial
Constitution.”
Rashid
Mohammed Rashid, a former minister of trade and industry,
said in an interview with Fareed Zakaria on CNN that he
believed it would be better for Mr. Mubarak to finish his
term as president to ensure a smooth transition.
But
he also dismissed the threat of a radical Islamist takeover
that Mr. Mubarak has often used to justify his regime, in
part because of the secular impulses of the new youth
movement. “I generally believe that what we have seen in
the last 10 days have been initiated by the young people of
Egypt, that were probably, as I said, were restricted,
despite the political reforms that have been happening, of
having a voice and a share,” Mr. Rashid said.
“Egypt
is a great country,” he said. “It has a great young
population. It has a great future and I think it is time now
to let the future happen by the young people, not by history,”
Protesters
in the square, meanwhile, sought to dispel the notion that
their ostensibly secular, liberal movement might contain
seeds of extremism. Coptic Christians held a Mass there
while Muslims stood guard, repaying a favor that Christian
protesters did for Muslims on Friday.
Some
in the square — where many have stayed for a week without
going home — acknowledged some worries about Mr. Mubarak’s
perseverance, especially after the Western powers appeared
to back a political transition that left him in place.
“There is a lot of pressure on us,” said Omar el Shamy.
“We are kind of scared.”
He
added: “But after the work week started and they tried to
get everyone to hate us because they couldn’t get to work,
the people keep coming!”
(*) David D.
Kirkpatrick reported from Cairo, and David E. Sanger from
Washington. Mona El-Naggar contributed reporting from Cairo.